Peter Cochrane's Uncommon Sense: The state of broadband

As viewed from the trenches...

By Peter Cochrane, 18 November 2004 08:15

COMMENT A frequent industry conference presenter and attendee, Peter Cochrane explains why the recent ABC broadband event exceeded his expectations and discusses what hopes the UK has to improve its place in the 'fat pipes' league.

I am not generally a fan of EU conferences as I find them turgid and lacking in novelty compared to events in the North America. But every now and again I encounter an exception. This year's Access to Broadband Campaign (ABC) conference, which took place earlier this month in Scotland, was one such event.

ABC, run by a group of enthusiasts, is devoted to canvassing for broadband access in the UK. I have presented at all of their conferences since 2001, and this one was by far the best. From the outset there was an energy in the 360 participants that I had not seen before. There was also a unique combination of techies, users, providers, visionaries and decision makers who seemed determined to effect change in the way the UK is not being supplied with any form of broadband infrastructure.

One of the presenters neatly coined the plight of the UK as follows: "In 1984 we had decided that broadband would be anything above 2Mbps but by 1995 we had decided that it's somewhere below 500Kbps."

Just before this statement, an industry spokesman said the UK was the leading broadband nation in the world. This was received by a stunned silence from an audience well aware that the UK is actually at the bottom of the league. How could anyone make such a statement when other nations in Scandinavia, South-East Asia and North America enjoy bit rates between 2Mbps and 100Mbps and are planning universal 10Gbps delivery by 2010? Moreover many of these countries do not dilute the bit delivery with multiple customers using the same stream to the point where you only get 56Kbps.

Well, I guess it is all down to government hype. The way you become the most connected broadband nation in the world is just to say that you are. In the UK is now seems standard practice to neglect reality and hide the truth as a matter of course. If the government can do it with education, heath care, road traffic stats and immigration, broadband is small beer.

So what can be done?

Wireless was mentioned as a means of bypassing the incumbent operators in the local loop to provide bandwidths in excess of 2Mbps. There were some incredible success stories of this technology out of Scotland and Wales, although many had ended up being stamped on or frustrated by the incumbents.

Satellite broadband also came up but I find it very difficult to imagine it has much of a role to play except in the remotest of locations. The cost is simply enormous and restrictions are placed on the amount of data downloaded in GB per month. I hate to think what my son would do to that in a week, let alone a month, but I suspect he would blow the limit without a second thought.

The short and long-haul wireless systems on offer looked promising. Most dramatic by its absence was WiMax - this seems almost to be a retreating technology as the specification process drags on and on.

It always seems paradoxical to me that for the last 30 years at least, the incumbents have been asking the same dumb question: 'What will people do with all this bandwidth?'

Several presenters offered answers. The Media Lab Europe showed a clutch of real-time services that would gobble up bandwidth, and another company demonstrated the creation of movies and multimedia content by young people using PCs at home.

Perhaps even more telling was the number of people using the Wi-Fi services at the conference to communicate using Skype and other voice over IP technologies for most of the day. As one user said: "I don't bother to ring my brother in Australia anymore. We just open up an audio channel and leave it running all day, 24x7. Why wouldn't you?"

One of the exhibits that really caught my attention was an IT bus produced by Glenrothes College. Not only was this clever in concept, it was also superb in realisation. It was a standard coach equipped with 10 PCs ergonomically mounted into glass-topped desks. To get online, a server connects to the internet via a satellite link wherever the bus happen to be located. I have to say it was one of the best mobile tech environments I have ever come across. Full marks to the team who put it together.

The parallel workshop sessions often went beyond present broadband debate to create snapshots of the future, and without exception broadband posed a telling limitation. Delegates nailed their colours to the mast with respect to the GDP of their regions. Simply put: if you can't communicate, you can't trade. If you don't have bandwidth, you don't have a business. If you don't have true broadband, you'll certainly become part of the second world.

Another feature of the conference was the high percentage of 'doers' attending. At EU conferences I am used to spectators who just listen or at best complain that someone else isn't doing anything, and then leave without making any positive contribution. Here, numerous attendees were working on deploying broadband wireless systems in Europe, Scandinavia and the Third World - and I sensed a willingness of some to emulate their success in isolated communities across the UK.

One bit of good news: commercial Wi-Fi operators in Europe - who charge high per-minute fees - are not making any money and look to be on the decline. Large portions of the UK already have an abundance of free Wi-Fi, especially in and around Greater London. And in the US, local governments of cities such as San Francisco and San Jose, California, have even decided to install free Wi-Fi to encourage business and commerce. I think they are onto a winner - and this is something that we will see accelerating across the UK.

I always feel I have been to a good conference when I leave uplifted and encouraged by the people, their attitudes, the presentations and the technology. ABC this year scored 10/10. If the conference energy could be converted into action, the UK might just become a well-connected country in the next 10 years or so.

Dictated at Robert Gordon's University Aberdeen. Despatched as an audio file to my PA from Aberdeen BA airport lounge by Wi-Fi. Received in typed form a day later at my home and polished over the following week. Despatched to silicon.com via Wi-Fi from my garden on a very cold day over a very warm coffee and whilst wearing a very warm coat.

Comments

There are 7 comments. Join the discussion

  1. 1. Andrew Ferguson

    I would be interested to hear what Peter Cochrane's view is on the availability of the emerging 3 & 4Mbps services, and even an 8Mbps service in the UK? And how this compares to the coverage of similar speeds in the other more advanced countries?

    UK headlines always seem to quote the average speed sold by BT Retail, but ignore the availability to almost 40-50% of the population of a 2Mbps and faster service.

  2. 2. Phil Thompson

    "Large portions of the UK already have an abundance of free Wi-Fi"

    it's early for the pantomime season, but "Oh no they don't". Even in chains of UK coffee bars that do have hotspots there are many outlets that do not, and none of them to my knowledge are free.

    "dilute the bit delivery with multiple customers using the same stream to the point where you only get 56Kbps"

    this would not be a fair characterisation of UK DSL services, as one can see from the speed test league tables where even the #10 (AOL) achieves an average 87.5% of the rated 500k speed with 1300 tests in a month - adslguide.org.uk test results. It might be a fair representation of local wifi based schemes.

    The UK may be short of the fastest services, but our geographical coverage of workable broadband is second to one. This may be a better outcome than having 100 MB/s available to 80,000 apartment dwellers and a digital desert outside the big cities.

  3. 3. Lynda

    [quote]"dilute the bit delivery with multiple customers using the same stream to the point where you only get 56Kbps"

    this would not be a fair characterisation of UK DSL services, as one can see from the speed test league tables where even the #10 (AOL) achieves an average 87.5% of the rated 500k speed with 1300 tests in a month - adslguide.org.uk test results. It might be a fair representation of local wifi based schemes.[/quote]

    I've got a 576K broadband connection - and I've not yet even achieved 56K download speed - as for upload... I set it off and go away

  4. 4. Alistair Thomas

    I hate to be the bearer of good news ...

    My first experience of ADSL was a 500Kbit connection in north London about 4 years ago. It was good. At the time I had a better connection at home than my satellite office at work shared with 10-20 people. With VPN I had full access to my work systems at home.

    IT slump, redundancy, moved out of London to the wilds of Worcs. No ADSL - disaster. Paid £1000 and £60 / month and got my satellite "Broadband". Latency makes all but streaming (down) and optimised web access impractical. Gaming and VPN is a non-starter. My current company signed up with Citrix to get its primary applications accessible by a web server. With a true broadband connection this gives good results. With Satellite this reduces to acceptably slow, however, with my desire for a rural existance then the emphasis is on acceptable rather than slow.

    Satellite has enabled me to have my cake and eat it too. For me, this is the mission for ADSL except that I expect the cake to be bigger and sweeter. Two months ago our exchange got its upgrade date despite being far short of its trigger level. I've ordered a 1MBit service at no connection fee and £30 per month for May delivery - I can't wait.

    Everyone loves to slag off BT it seems. OK they didn't invest in the market without some proof that it was worthwhile. I thought the pre-registration scheme was inspired marketing. I've seen nothing similar from the other cable providers or other industries like gas. They promised us that if we hit our triger level we'd get a priority upgrade. We didn't deliver but our upgrade is scheduled anyway.

    BT was one of the companies that was raped (albeit consensually?!) by the government in the great 3G rip-off (sorry sell-off). What has the government done with the £20B to help fantastic and obvious causes like universal broadband? I can't think of anything.

    BT on the other hand, burdened with debt, forced to sell-off some of its new toys, set about making some (arguably unambitious) promises about broadband and then systematically and consistently over delivering on them. And, its still in the game battling to make things better.

    The government could learn a lot from BT. Make realistic and achievable promises, enlist the support of potential users, deliver, deliver, deliver. Instead we get talk without vision, and where there is action on IT related matters more often than not it results in a multi-million fiasco a la CSA-EDS.

    It's too early to thank BT for my ADSL, (May still seems a long way away), but I'm inclined to cut them some slack. In May, if everything goes to plan, I will have a connection 17 miles from the nearest big town (let alone city) that's 2x as good and at the same rate I paid for ADSL in London, only 4 years on. That's progress in anybody's terms.

  5. 5. anonymous

    I would be interested to learn more about 4-8MB speeds for Internet use, I have friends in other countries like Sweden on 4mb and 20mb VDSL in Korea etc, so, why is the UK so far behind in Telecomms, BT is the 1st point for all broadband, but its service to customers is very slow, and totally robotic.

  6. 6. MikeW

    Maybe Peter can tell us what BT did with all the bandwidth of those fibre-optic links it installed through the country in the early 80's ?

    And why it kept the prices of ISDN so high for so long, thus ensuring that it never became viable as a consumer product until broadband was already becoming established anyhow ?

    As a modem developer working with Case, Dacom, Dowty and Mayze then, what wonders affordable kilobit dialup would have unleashed - albeit on Prestel/BTX/Minitel !

  7. 7. Knut H. Flottorp

    Mike,
    That is the most appropriate question posted in ages.

    The issue is that BT made a policy decision "against" ISDN - that it considered "Inovative Stupidity Designed for Nobody".
    Well, you have a switching infrastructure in place that could have generated money - that we could have used.
    So, Peter - explain the stupidity please.

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