By Clive Longbottom, 23 October 2008 08:00
COMMENT
If businesses want to win over the five billion people without computers, they must adapt their approach. Clive Longbottom lists seven assumptions they must not make.
Although there are well over six billion people on the planet, just a little over one billion have access to computers or the internet.
Given those one billion already provide big profits for tech giants such as Google and Microsoft, is there any point in bothering with the other five?
Tech Hotspots: The list
1. Silicon Valley
2. Bangalore
3. London
4. Tokyo
5. Boston
6. Cambridge
7. Shanghai
8. Tel Aviv
9. Seoul
10.Beijing
11.Chennai
12.Pune
13.Singapore
14.Helsinki
15.Moscow
16.Hong Kong
17.Hyderabad
18.New York
19.Sydney
20.Shenzhen
Of course. Quocirca would pose it is more important to be concentrating our capabilities on these people. Technology can enable massive changes for the poorest people on the planet - and the impact can be the difference between life and death, not just success and failure.
With companies such as Cisco, Intel and Microsoft and organisations such as the One Laptop Per Child (OLPC) foundation pushing to get devices into as many people's hands as possible, one missing piece remains: content.
Small-scale projects are providing fantastic content and software to discrete groups of people but these projects tend to be run on shoestring budgets, with the developers motivated more by philanthropy than by any dreams of financial recompense.
Already commercial companies are catching on to the fact these five billion people present an opportunity. But from what Quocirca has seen, their efforts so far leave much to be desired.
Here are seven assumptions developers should not make when creating applications and content for this new world of users.
1. Don't assume literacy
Literacy is taken as a given in many parts of the world, and yet figures show that even in those countries with full education systems, levels of functional literacy can be quite shocking. Indeed, UN figures show that 20 per cent of UK adults are functionally illiterate. Therefore, systems aimed at developing markets and poorer areas in mature markets should be based more on visual and audio content than on text.
2. Don't assume latest technical capabilities
Many devices provided to developing areas will be on a subsidised or free basis, as the users will not be able to afford to buy them directly. Therefore, developers can't expect their software will be run on hardware with fast processors or good graphics capabilities. Products have to be kept cheap and simple.
3. Don't assume full connectivity
Despite the uptake of wireless connectivity in emerging markets, the 'always on' connection will remain a dream for the foreseeable future. While base content should be a centrally sourced and shared resource so it can be accessed by as many people as possible, it has to be fully replicated to distributed systems - and streaming will not be a workable way forwards for some time.
4. Don't assume device consistency
In mature markets, users can be expected to use the right device for the job. But in emerging markets it has to be assumed a user will have access to a single (probably shared) device - and that this device could be a basic mobile phone, or a simple laptop or desktop machine. Applications and content must be accessible from such different devices.
5. Don't assume money means anything
Quocirca often hears that 'x' per cent of people in such-and-such a geography are surviving on less than $1 per day. So what? If housing is self-built from locally sourced renewable products, food is grown by the person themselves, clothing is made from locally sourced materials and energy comes from renewable sources, money of any quantity is useless.
So don't look at how your software or content will help the user become a millionaire - look at how it well help them do what they want to do better.
6. Don't assume step-wise aspirations
In mature markets, most people aspire to advance through a career path, gaining greater responsibilities and cash with each move. In the emerging markets, it may be better to look at a more linear progression - for instance, how can a farmer become a more effective farmer?
7. Don't assume thought processes are the same as yours
This is a biggie: because the software developers come from a democratic country, with free thought and the desire to do well financially and socially, often they think this framework is the one emerging markets should aim for too. This can alienate potential users. Content and applications have to be contextually sensitive to be useful.
For many in the world, basic needs for survival and growth are the main focus of daily life. Trying to address the higher aims before those basic needs have been addressed will never work. Only once you provide better survival capabilities can individuals take a more inclusive view of their future.
Although there is not a massive amount of money to be made from emerging markets, micro amounts from non-governmental agencies, aggregated user groups and so on can lead to significant financial success when brought together over a possible five-billion-strong user base.
The trick is to be in it for the long game - not just for the quick win.



Comments
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1. Edward Mokurai Cherlin
In some respects this is a good starting set of assumptions not to make, and there are more.
1. Don't assume literacy
The OLPC XO Sugar software includes Text-To-Speech, the ability for the computer to read any content in any supported language, and to mark where in the text it is reading. This is based on the Same-Language-Subtitling system used in Bollywood musicals, one of the most effective literacy programs ever.
2. Don't assume latest technical capabilities
The OLPC XO is quite slow. About as slow as a Cray 1. :-) It is also extremely low in power requirements, extremely rugged, extremely easy to repair, and so on.
3. Don't assume full connectivity
XOs in schools without Internet will be able to access a subset of Wikipedia on a school server, and other essential content. Data transfer will be by high-tech Sneakernet, that is, using CD-ROMs and flash drives carried on foot or by bicycle from one school to the next.
4. Don't assume device consistency
Doesn't apply when there is actually one laptop per child.
5. Don't assume money means anything
Nor that it means nothing. We intend for our students to get real jobs when they graduate, or to start businesses and create jobs.
6. Don't assume step-wise aspirations
Some child will go from a hut in a village to President of his or her country. Some will become commercial farmers rather than subsistence farmers. Everybody will be able to do whatever it is that they choose at a higher level with access to information and to other people.
7. Don't assume thought processes are the same as yours
"This is a biggie: because the software developers come from a democratic country, with free thought and the desire to do well financially and socially, often they think this framework is the one emerging markets should aim for too. This can alienate potential users. Content and applications have to be contextually sensitive to be useful."
This turns out not to be the case. Teachers are delighted when they are able to teach democracy and human rights, and communities are delighted to know that their children can look forward to participating in a more just society.
But you, Mr. Longbottom, should not assume that educational content will come only from First-World technologists. Local OLPC projects are already creating local content, including teacher training materials, textbooks, and more, in their own languages.
You can try Sugar software for yourself if you have Red Hat, Debian, or Ubuntu Linux. Search for Sugar in your package repository, and install it in the normal way. Or get a LiveCD image and burn it to a CD-ROM. Or buy an actual XO through the Give One Get One program starting Nov. 17.